Brexit: Will the UK vote to leave the EU?
What will be the consequences of a British vote to leave the EU? A lecture by Robin Harris.
On 23rd June 2016, the British people will vote in a referendum on whether to leave the European Union. Presently, surveys suggest that opinion is evenly divided between those who wish to leave, and those who wish to remain. The ruling Conservative party is itself divided on the issue, with five members of the British cabinet having announced their intention to campaign to leave, along with two fifths of the parliamentary party and a majority of party members.
Led by the Prime Minister David Cameron, the Remain Campaign argues that Britain would be less well off economically, and would have diminished influence in the world were it to leave; it also states that leaving would harm national security. Spokesmen for the Leave campaign argue that the drive for ever closer union has eroded national sovereignty, and damaged democracy. As the fifth biggest economy, Britain would do at least as well economically outside EU. The fact that the Britain-EU trade balance greatly favours the latter means that Britain is well placed to negotiate a trade deal which would effectively ensure that it remains within the Single Market. It would also regain the right to control is own borders.
A vote to leave would clearly have profound implications for Britain’s partners, not least because in the past it has sometimes been able to slow the drive to ever closer union even if it has been unable to prevent it, and because the UK is the second largest contributor to the EU budget.
What are the factors which have shaped Britain’s attitudes towards the EU, and what will be the consequences of a vote to leave the EU under the terms of the Lisbon Treaty?
Robin Harris, historian, journalist and former speech writer to Margaret Thatcher, sought to answer these and related questions in a lecture organized jointly by Pécs University and by the Danube Institute on 20th April 2016. Mr Harris was Director of the British Conservative Research Department from 1985 to 1988, and a member of the Prime Minister's Policy Unit from 1989 to 1990. He helped draft the Conservative Party manifesto for the 1987 general election.
His publications include Not for Turning: The Life of Margaret Thatcher; Talleyrand: Betrayer and Savior of France; and The Conservatives – A History.
Dinner with the Atlantic CouncilPast Events
The Danube Institute and Zsolt Németh co-hosted a dinner for the delegation of the Atlantic Council of the United States.
Free Speech, Social Justice and the PC CulturePast Events
What is taking place on certain university campuses in the West? A lecture by Ruth Dudley Edwards on June 8 at the Danube Institute.
Healthcare in Hungary: Are There Any Lessons From Abroad?Events
International conference on the healthcare in Hungary and the lessons from abroad.
Free Market Road Show: The World after Brexit and TrumpPast Events
We now live in an era where the unthinkable happens, repeatedly. A conference on our times and the future of free market.
The Middle East, America and Europe in the Trump EraPast Events
On April 13, 2017, the Danube Institute presented Tom Gross, noted Middle East commentator.
Europe vs ElectionsPast Events
Will the Dutch, French and German Elections Change Europe’s Future?
What is democracy?Past Events
A Danube Institute conference with international speakers debating on democracy.
Political speeches: democracy in the era of fake newsPast Events
Former British Ambassador Charles Crawford, CMG on the challenge of political speeches in a new era.
From the democracy's demon to Putin's Russia: a book signing event
Date: 23/02/2017 5:18 p.m.
Location: Bestsellers, Oktober 6. utca 11, 1051 Budapest
The Demon in Democracy (by Professor Ryszard Legutko) and The Less You Know, the Better You Sleep (by David Satter). Book signing event on February 23.
Communism’s Poisoned LegacyPast Events
A conference on the impact of communism on culture, law, and society.
MAPH-1067 Budapest, Eötvös u. 24.
Phone: +36 1 269 1041
Switch to a larger map