Brexit: Will the UK vote to leave the EU?
What will be the consequences of a British vote to leave the EU? A lecture by Robin Harris.
On 23rd June 2016, the British people will vote in a referendum on whether to leave the European Union. Presently, surveys suggest that opinion is evenly divided between those who wish to leave, and those who wish to remain. The ruling Conservative party is itself divided on the issue, with five members of the British cabinet having announced their intention to campaign to leave, along with two fifths of the parliamentary party and a majority of party members.
Led by the Prime Minister David Cameron, the Remain Campaign argues that Britain would be less well off economically, and would have diminished influence in the world were it to leave; it also states that leaving would harm national security. Spokesmen for the Leave campaign argue that the drive for ever closer union has eroded national sovereignty, and damaged democracy. As the fifth biggest economy, Britain would do at least as well economically outside EU. The fact that the Britain-EU trade balance greatly favours the latter means that Britain is well placed to negotiate a trade deal which would effectively ensure that it remains within the Single Market. It would also regain the right to control is own borders.
A vote to leave would clearly have profound implications for Britain’s partners, not least because in the past it has sometimes been able to slow the drive to ever closer union even if it has been unable to prevent it, and because the UK is the second largest contributor to the EU budget.
What are the factors which have shaped Britain’s attitudes towards the EU, and what will be the consequences of a vote to leave the EU under the terms of the Lisbon Treaty?
Robin Harris, historian, journalist and former speech writer to Margaret Thatcher, sought to answer these and related questions in a lecture organized jointly by Pécs University and by the Danube Institute on 20th April 2016. Mr Harris was Director of the British Conservative Research Department from 1985 to 1988, and a member of the Prime Minister's Policy Unit from 1989 to 1990. He helped draft the Conservative Party manifesto for the 1987 general election.
His publications include Not for Turning: The Life of Margaret Thatcher; Talleyrand: Betrayer and Savior of France; and The Conservatives – A History.
Making Hungarians, Making Europeans: Problems, Solutions
Date: 25/10/2017 9:00 a.m.
Location: Eötvös utca 24, Budapest, 1067
A mini-conference on demography at the Danube Institute on October 25.
Mit tehet az ember, ha fiatal és magyar? A FOCUS csoport konferenciája Gárdonyban.
Conference on today's warfare and insecurity
Date: 18/10/2017 6:00 p.m.
Location: Széchenyi István tér 9, Budapest
Understanding hybrid threats and managing insecurity in 21st century. Conference on 18 October at the MTA in Budapest.
100th Anniversary of the Russian Revolution
Date: 09/11/2017 1:00 p.m.
On November 9, Danube Institute will hold an international conference on the Russian Revolution.
Austrian Economics Meeting Europe: Call for PapersFuture events
The Austrian Economics Meeting Europe invites young scholars to next year's meeting in Budapest.
FOCUS csoport: konzervatív fiatalok a magyarságértFuture events
A Danube Institute együttműködik a FOCUS csoporttal az első konferenciájukon.
Conversations: An Evening With Robert AgostinelliPast Events
The well-known financier and philantropist Robert Agostinelli will be the guest of the Danube Institute in Budapest on 21 September.
Who and What Funds Terrorism?Past Events
A lecture by Dr. Rachel Ehrenfeld, PhD, Director of the American Center for Democracy and expert on terrorism and its financing.
Dinner with the Atlantic CouncilPast Events
The Danube Institute and Zsolt Németh co-hosted a dinner for the delegation of the Atlantic Council of the United States.
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