30/03/2023

Research / Geopolitics

The extent of China’s power relative to Asia

Research by our Senior Researcher, Csaba Barnabás Horváth

This paper attempts to take an overview of the issue of how extensive China’s economic and demographic weight is relative to the strategic landscape of Asia. To do so, we attempt to define which Asian countries form a group band wagoning with China (including China itself), and those countries which fall into a group of rivals that seek to balance China’s rise. Using several different metrics, we compare the two groups according to demographic and economic factors. What we discover suggests that China’s power relative to Asia has already peaked, and will soon be in relative decline compared to the entirety of the Asia-Pacific and Indo-Pacific.

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